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Siena Research InstituteSiena College, Loudonville, NY |
Siena New York Poll:
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Clinton’s Favorability, Primary & General Leads Fall
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Loudonville, NY Governor Eliot Spitzer’s favorability and job performance ratings have begun to rebound since the enactment of the state budget, while Senator Hillary Clinton’s favorability rating and presidential electoral support continue to erode, according to a new Siena (College) Research Institute poll of registered New York voters released today. The new Siena poll also shows that New Yorkers are divided over whether the enacted budget was good or bad for the people of the state, while they overwhelmingly believe that the budget demonstrates that things in Albany have pretty much stayed the same, despite the Governor’s vow that ‘everything changes on Day 1.’
“While his numbers are not back in record territory, Spitzer is viewed favorably by two-thirds of New York voters, including 60 percent of Republicans,” said Steven Greenberg, Siena New York Poll spokesman. “His favorability rating is at least 65 percent in every region of the state. And his job performance rating has jumped in the last month to 55 percent excellent or good, and 38 percent fair or poor, up from 47-39 percent last month.
“Predictions of an early end to Eliot Spitzer’s honeymoon with voters are premature,” Greenberg said. “Over the last two years, only Chuck Schumer and Spitzer himself have had a higher favorability rating than the Governor currently has among the nearly 30 politicians Siena has asked voters about.”
Clinton was viewed favorably by 50 percent of voters and unfavorably by 42 percent. Last month her favorability rating was 56-37 percent. Senator Barack Obama’s favorability rating is 55-23 percent. And Senator John Edwards has a 52-29 percent favorability rating.
“Hillary’s favorability rating is the lowest it’s been in more than two years of the Siena New York poll,” Greenberg said. “The fall in her rating has been dramatic since January, when she had a 60-33 favorability rating. Just as dramatic is the tightening of both the primary and general election match-ups. Hillary led Obama by 47 points in January and 32 points last month, now her lead is 22 points.
“In a race against Rudy Giuliani, Hillary’s 12 point lead from last month has tightened to a five point lead. And while Rudy was beating Obama by three points last month, today Obama has a four point lead over Giuliani, virtually the same as Hillary’s,” Greenberg said.
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Month |
Clinton |
Giuliani |
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Obama |
Giuliani |
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April 2007 |
48% |
43% |
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47% |
43% |
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March 2007 |
51% |
39% |
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42% |
45% |
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November 2006 |
53% |
39% |
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41% |
47% |
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August 2006 |
42% |
48% |
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October 2005 |
43% |
48% |
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In the Democratic primary Clinton gets 39 percent to 17 percent for Obama, 12 percent for Al Gore, 11 percent for Edwards, and single digits for the other candidates. In the Republican primary, Giuliani gets 47 percent to 16 percent for Sen. John McCain and single digits for the other candidates.
Three in ten voters said that the recently passed state budget was good for the people and 27 percent said it was bad, while 14 percent volunteered it was mixed. When asked who the biggest winner was in the budget battle, 26 percent said special interest groups, 23 percent said the Governor, eight percent said the Senate and six percent said the Assembly. While only 23 percent said that the budget demonstrates that things in Albany ‘have dramatically changed,’ 62 percent said that it demonstrates that things in Albany have ‘pretty much stayed the same.’
“While New Yorkers are divided over whether the budget was good or bad, and who the big winner was, voters told Siena that the budget shows very clearly that everything did not change on Day 1,” Greenberg said. “The Governor has a long way to go in convincing New Yorkers that he has changed state government for the better.”
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This SRI survey was conducted April 16-20, 2007 by telephone calls to 980 registered New York State voters. It has a margin of error of + 3.1 percentage points. The margin of error for Democrats is + 4.8 percentage points. The margin of error for Republicans is + 5.5 percentage points. For more information, please call Steven Greenberg at 518-469-9858. Survey cross-tabulations and frequencies can be found at: http://www.siena.edu/sri/results/2007/07_Apr_NYPoll.htm
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Siena Research InstituteSiena College, Loudonville, NY |
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Eliot Spitzer?
Date Favorable Unfavorable Don’t Know/No Opinion
April 2007 67 20 13
March 2007 62 20 18
February 2007 74 12 14
January 2007 75 10 16
November 15, 2006 75 14 12
November 3, 2006 74 17 10
October 2006 69 20 12
September 2006 74 16 10
August 2006 71 15 15
June 2006 68 16 16
May 2006 63 19 19
March 2006 62 18 20
January 2006 59 19 23
November 2005 65 15 20
October 2005 61 19 20
August 2005 60 14 26
July 2005 62 15 22
June 2005 59 15 25
May 2005 58 17 25
April 2005 53 18 29
March 2005 50 18 32
February 2005 48 17 34
How would you rate the job that Eliot Spitzer is doing as Governor – excellent, good, fair, or poor?
Date Excellent Good Fair Poor Don’t Know/No Opinion
April 2007 10 45 31 7 7
March 2007 8 39 31 8 13
February 2007 15 43 21 3 20
January 2007 11 37 15 4 33
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Thomas DiNapoli?
Date Favorable Unfavorable Don’t Know/No Opinion
April 2007 11 14 76
March 2007 9 14 78
February 2007 9 15 76
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Andrew Cuomo?
Date Favorable Unfavorable Don’t Know/No Opinion
April 2007 52 31 18
March 2007 50 32 19
February 2007 45 35 20
January 2007 48 29 23
November 15, 2006 50 36 15
November 3, 2006 49 36 15
October 2006 44 42 15
September 2006 50 35 15
August 2006 44 35 21
June 2006 47 29 24
January 2006 45 31 24
How would you rate the job that Andrew Cuomo is doing as Attorney General – excellent, good, fair, or poor?
Date Excellent Good Fair Poor Don’t Know/No Opinion
April 2007 8 39 29 9 15
March 2007 5 35 29 8 23
January 2007 11 37 15 4 33
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Hillary Clinton?
Date Favorable Unfavorable Don’t Know/No Opinion
April 2007 50 42 7
March 2007 56 37 8
February 2007 56 40 5
January 2007 60 33 7
November 15, 2006 65 29 6
November 3, 2006 61 33 6
October 2006 56 38 6
September 2006 60 37 4
August 2006 54 38 7
June 2006 54 38 8
May 2006 58 36 6
March 2006 55 39 6
January 2006 60 37 3
November 2005 60 34 6
October 2005 59 35 6
August 2005 59 37 4
July 2005 60 34 6
June 2005 60 33 7
May 2005 58 35 7
April 2005 60 33 6
March 2005 58 34 8
February 2005 61 33 6
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Barack Obama?
Date Favorable Unfavorable Don’t Know/No Opinion
April 2007 55 23 22
March 2007 52 20 28
February 2007 52 21 28
January 2007 50 17 34
November 15, 2006 48 12 40
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about John Edwards?
Date Favorable Unfavorable Don’t Know/No Opinion
April 2007 52 29 20
February 2007 44 31 25
January 2007 49 25 25
November 15, 2006 42 23 35
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about John McCain?
Date Favorable Unfavorable Don’t Know/No Opinion
April 2007 45 39 15
March 2007 45 34 21
February 2007 47 33 19
January 2007 51 29 21
November 15, 2006 56 24 20
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about Rudy Giuliani?
Date Favorable Unfavorable Don’t Know/No Opinion
April 2007 56 38 6
March 2007 60 33 8
February 2007 59 34 7
January 2007 63 29 9
November 15, 2006 63 32 5
April 2005 63 26 10
February 2005 61 28 11
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about George Bush?
Date Favorable Unfavorable Don’t Know/No Opinion
April 2007 29 65 6
January 2007 26 67 8
November 15, 2006 28 65 7
September 2006 36 61 3
If the Democratic Primary were held today and the candidates for the presidential nomination were (rotate choices) Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, Bill Richardson, Chris Dodd, Dennis Kucinich, Joe Biden, or Al Gore who would you vote for? (Note: Democrats only; choices rotated. Not all candidates were included in each poll; NA indicates where a candidate was not included.)
Date Obama Clinton Edwards Richardson Dodd
April 2007 17 39 11 4 0
March 2007 11 43 7 4 0
February 2007 13 44 8 2 1
January 2007 11 58 9 4 0
Don’t Know/
Kucinich Biden Gore No Opinion
April 2007 1 2 12 13
March 2007 3 1 14 17
February 2007 2 4 11 15
January 2007 1 4 NA 13
If the Republican Primary were held today and the candidates for the presidential nomination were (rotate choices) Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Sam Brownback, Mitt Romney, George Pataki, and Newt Gingrich, who would you vote for? (Note: Republicans only; choices rotated)
Date Giuliani McCain Brownback Romney
April 2007 47 16 0 8
March 2007 48 16 1 6
February 2007 45 17 1 5
January 2007 47 20 1 5
Pataki Gingrich Don’t Know/No Opinion
April 2007 6 7 16
March 2007 7 8 14
February 2007 3 11 19
January 2007 5 9 13
If the 2008 presidential election were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton on the Democratic line and Rudy Giuliani on the Republican line, who would you vote for (ROTATE CHOICES)?
Date Clinton Giuliani Don’t Know/No Opinion
April 2007 48 43 8
March 2007 51 39 9
November 15, 2006 53 39 8
August 2006 42 48 9
October 2005 43 48 9
If the 2008 presidential election were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton on the Democratic line and John McCain on the Republican line, who would you vote for (ROTATE CHOICES)?
Date Clinton McCain Don’t Know/No Opinion
April 2007 51 39 10
March 2007 54 35 11
November 15, 2006 55 36 9
August 2006 42 46 12
If the 2008 presidential election were held today and the candidates were Barack Obama on the Democratic line and Rudy Giuliani on the Republican line, who would you vote for (ROTATE CHOICES)?
Date Obama Giuliani Don’t Know/No Opinion
April 2007 47 43 10
March 2007 42 45 13
November 15, 2006 41 47 12
If the 2008 presidential election were held today and the candidates were Barack Obama on the Democratic line and John McCain on the Republican line, who would you vote for (ROTATE CHOICES)?
Date Obama McCain Don’t Know/No Opinion
April 2007 50 37 13
March 2007 47 39 14
November 15, 2006 39 40 21
Is New York State on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction?
Date Right Track Wrong Direction Don’t Know/No Opinion
April 2007 47 29 24
March 2007 37 37 26
February 2007 49 26 25
January 2007 45 26 30
November 15, 2006 52 30 18
November 3, 2006 36 43 21
October 2006 29 47 23
September 2006: 33 39 28
August 2006 29 47 25
June 2006 29 45 26
May 2006 27 52 21
March 2006 35 39 26
January 2006 34 43 24
November 2005 38 41 22
October 2005 34 42 24
August 2005 36 44 20
July 2005 33 41 26
June 2005 30 44 26
May 2005 29
