For Immediate Release:                        Monday, February 7, 2005

Contact:                                               Joe Caruso at 518-783-2901

PDF version (with crosstabs):              

 

Siena New York Poll:

Spitzer Beats Pataki; Loses to Giuliani

Hillary Crushes Pataki and Beats Rudy

Democratic A.G. Candidates Unknown

 

Loudonville, NY – If the election were held today, Governor George Pataki would be easily beaten in seeking a fourth term, and would be trounced if he challenged Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton for the U.S. Senate, according to a new Siena (College) Research Institute poll of New York voters released today.

 

Pataki would lose to Attorney General Eliot Spitzer 51-35 percent and he would be beaten 58-32 percent in a race for Senate against Clinton.

 

“After ten years as governor, George Pataki does not have the support of the majority of New Yorkers,” said Joe Caruso, Director of Polling for the Siena Research Institute (SRI).  “As things stand now, he couldn’t get re-elected to a fourth term and he’d get crushed in a Senate race against Senator Clinton.”

 

“Rudy Giuliani, however, would beat Spitzer handily – today (49-40 percent).  And in a match up of two New York political titans, a race between Rudy and Hillary for the U.S. Senate would have the Senator winning re-election comfortably (52-43 percent),” Caruso said.

 

Other than Pataki, New Yorkers have a very favorable view of the major political figures:

                    George Pataki:           39 percent favorable; 45 percent unfavorable

                    Charles Schumer:      63 percent favorable; 20 percent unfavorable

                    Hillary Clinton:         61 percent favorable; 33 percent unfavorable

                    Rudy Giuliani:           61 percent favorable; 28 percent unfavorable

                    Eliot Spitzer:             48 percent favorable; 17 percent unfavorable

 

Siena asked Democrats for their preference in the Democratic primary for Attorney General:

                    Andrew Cuomo:                    19 percent

                    Mark Green:                          17 percent

                    Denise O’Donnell:                4 percent

                    Richard Brodsky:                  1 percent

                    Michael Gianaris:                  1 percent

                    Charlie King:                         1 percent

                    Sean Maloney:                       0 percent

                    Don’t know/no opinion:        56 percent

 

“For the moment, the winner in the Democratic Attorney General’s primary is ‘none of the above,’” Caruso said.  “While Cuomo and Green have some name recognition and the early lead, the rest of the candidates are not yet on the voters’ radar screen.”

 

New York voters are more concerned about health and education than other major issues.  Voters were asked to indicate how important six issues were on a scale of 1-5, with 5 being most important and 1 being not at all important.

 

 

Most

Important

(5)

Somewhat Important

(3,4)

Not

Important

(1,2)

Education:

64%

28%

7%

Health care:

59%

30%

10%

State budget:

57%

33%

9%

Crime:

46%

40%

12%

Environment:

39%

50%

11%

State government reform:

33%

46%

16%

 

“While reforming Albany is important to some, it’s not close in importance to issues like education, health care and the state budget for most voters,” Caruso said. 

 

The Empire Page, in partnership with the Siena Research Institute, previously released the results of two questions where 58 percent of New Yorkers said that they believe the Governor should not run for re-election, and while 27 percent said that they would vote to re-elect him if he does run, 57 percent said they would prefer to vote for someone else.

 

Empire/SRI will be releasing results of two questions every month.  SRI will conduct extensive polls of the New York electorate on a regular basis.

 

This SRI survey was conducted January 31-February 3, 2005 by telephone calls to 621 New York State registered voters.  It has a margin of error of + 3.9 points.  For more information or comments, please call Joe Caruso, SRI Director of Polling, at 518-783-2901.  Survey cross-tabulations and frequencies can be found at www.siena.edu/sri/surveys.asp.