The
Siena New York Poll:
If the Election Were Held Today…
Kerry (51%) over Bush (29% ) no Surprise in New York,
But in the Battle of the Veeps,
Republicans Weak on Cheney, See Edwards as Boost for Kerry
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Loudonville,
NY –
This is New York State, after all, where Democrats outnumber Republicans 5 to
3, so it’s no surprise that John Kerry bowls over George Bush for the
presidency, 51% - 29%.
The
surprise is in the standings of the likely vice-presidential candidates.
According to the latest poll by the Siena Research Institute (SRI), 27% of
Republicans say Dick Cheney hurts George Bush’s chances for election,
while 52% of Republicans say John Edwards helps John Kerry’s chances.
|
|
|
Democrat |
Republican |
|
|
Does
Cheney help or hurt Bush’s
chance for election? |
Help |
13% |
34% |
|
Hurt |
50% |
27% |
|
|
|
no
effect |
18% |
23% |
|
|
|
Does
Edwards help or hurt Kerry’s chance for election? |
Help |
70% |
52% |
|
|
Hurt |
5% |
11% |
||
|
no
effect |
8% |
12% |
||
The SRI poll of 604 likely registered voters in New York State, conducted July 12-15, has a margin of
error of + 4.0 percentage points on the survey total.
In
other findings:
On
the issues:
Congress’ overall approval rating is at 25%; its disapproval, 53%.
The Siena
New York Poll - Siena Research Institute
President
Bush - Approval Ratings, July 16, 2004
Do you approve or disapprove of the way President
Bush is … |
|||
|
|
Approval |
Disapproval |
Don’t
Know/ No
Opinion |
|
…handling
his job as President: |
32% |
59% |
9% |
|
…handling
the war on terrorism: |
36% |
58% |
5% |
|
…handling
the situation in Iraq: |
30% |
63% |
7% |
|
…handling
the economy: |
33% |
57% |
10% |
“One would expect Democrats to support John Kerry’s hand-picked running mate, but the number of Republicans who think Edwards will help the ticket – 52% - is impressive,” notes Joe Caruso, Director of Polling for the Siena Research Institute. “Equally interesting is finding that 27% of Republicans say Cheney will hurt George Bush’s chances for election; only 34% say Cheney will help the ticket. At the same time, the President’s approval rating is seriously low, not only overall, but also on the issues. He takes the biggest hit for his handling of the situation in Iraq.”
This
SRI survey of 604 likely registered voters in New York State was conducted
Monday, July 12 through Thursday, July 15, 2004.
It has a margin of error of + 4.0 percentage points. For more
information or comments, please contact SRI Director of Polling Joe Caruso at
518-783-2901 (office) or 518-542-7814 (mobile). Survey Cross-tabulations and frequencies can be found at:
www.siena.edu/sri/surveys.asp.