For Immediate Release: Monday, April  5, 2004

 

The Siena New York Poll for March: Approval Ratings, President and Congress

Bush Approval Up 2 Points to 37%

Disapproval Remains at 56%

President’s Highest Approval is for Handling War on Terrorism (53%);

Lowest ratings is for Handling the Economy (29%)  

Congress’ Approval Down a Point to 29%; Disapproval Down a Point to 47%

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Crosstabs sheet 1, sheet 2

Loudonville, NY –  President Bush’s overall approval rating went up 2 points in March to 37%, according to the latest Siena New York Poll from the Siena (College) Research Institute (SRI). Congress’ approval rating dropped a point to 29% - a new low.

 

The President’s approval rating saw several 1 to 3 point increases among several demographic groups; his only significant increase was among lower income households, up 7 points to 37%.  The President’s approval dropped only among higher income households, down 3 points to 37%. Approval remained the same among Democrats: 17%.  

 

The President’s 37% overall approval rating is 11 points below his March 2003 approval of 48%; and 7 points below his 12-month approval rating average of 44%. The President’s approval remains highest among Republicans (76%) and lowest among Democrats (17%). His disapproval remained at 56% --19 points higher than his approval.

 

The Siena New York Poll

Approval Ratings, March 2004 – Siena Research Institute

Do you approve or disapprove of the way * is handling his/her job as ______?

 

Approval

Chng

Disapproval

Chng

Don’t Know

No Opinion

Chng

*President Bush

37%

+2 pts.

56%

no chng

8%

-2 pts.

*U.S. Congress

29%

-1 pt.

47%

-1 pt.

24%

+1 pt.

 

SRI asked three more presidential approval questions:

·         President Bush’s highest approval remains for his handling of the war on terrorism

– up two points to 53%, after dropping 8 points the previous month. 

·         His approval continued to fall for his handling of Iraq – down a point to 34%

·         His approval went up a point for handling of the economy –to 29%.

 

   Only a third of New Yorkers – 34% - say the economy is moving in the right direction, up a point. 

 

Congress’ approval saw several 1 to 3 point gains and losses.

·         Its most significant gain was among Republicans, up 6 points to 44%, and its most significant loss was among New Yorkers age 55 and older, down 6 points to 20%.

·         Its highest approval remains among Republicans (44%); its lowest is among those age 55 and older (20%).

 

Congress’ 29% overall approval rating is 14 points below its March 2003 approval of 43% and 6 points below its 12-month average of 35%. Its disapproval went down a point to 47% --18 points higher than its approval.

 

“Just when you thought it couldn’t go any lower, Congress’s approval dips again,” notes Joe Caruso, Director of Polling for the Siena Research Institute. “The one point drop isn’t significant by itself, other than to show a continuing downward trend.  The President’s approval saw minor improvement, both overall and in response to his handling of the war on terrorism and his handling of the economy.  Small improvements, all, but when you’re approval is that low, a small increase is much better than the alternative. His response to the increasing attacks on Americans in Iraq is bound to have a significant effect on next month’s approval rating report.”

 

This SRI survey was conducted during the month of March 2004 by random telephone calls to 622 New York State

residents over the age of 18.  It has a margin of error of +3.9 percentage points. For more information or comments,

please contact SRI Director of Polling Joe Caruso at 518-783-2901.  Survey Cross-tabulations and frequencies can be

found at:  www.siena.edu/sri/surveys.asp.


 

The Siena New York Poll for March 2004:

Approval Ratings, President and Congress

Approval Rating Comparisons

President Bush

U.S. Congress

Highest Approval

82% (10/01)

77% (10/01)

Lowest Approval*

35% (2/04)

29% (3/04)

Previous low:

37% (11/03)

33% (9/03)

Current Approval

37% (3/04)

29% (3/04) (new low)

Previous Approval

35% (2/04)

30% (2/04)

Rating one year ago

48% (3/03)

43% (3/03)

38 month average

54%

45%

12 month average

44%

35%

*since  February 2001

 

 

   SRI approval ratings are obtained by polling throughout an entire month with random telephone calls to 600+ New Yorkers age 18 and older.

 

   SRI asked three more presidential approval questions. President Bush’s highest approval remains for his handling of the war on terrorism – up 2 points to 53%, after falling 8 points in the previous month.  Approval continued to fall for his handling of Iraq – down a point to 34% - and is up a point for handling the economy, to 29%.

 

   At the same time, only a third of New Yorkers say the economy is moving in the right direction, up a point to 34% from the previous month.